Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.452487 0.500447 0.552019 0.611705 0.679018 0.752738 0.839795
2025-06-22 0.368639 0.433463 0.508303 0.601554 0.715270 0.850242 1.023765
2025-06-29 0.321864 0.393990 0.481270 0.595567 0.742622 0.927250 1.179430
2025-07-06 0.279903 0.353344 0.445498 0.570955 0.739353 0.960511 1.277847
2025-07-13 0.259552 0.336835 0.437038 0.578364 0.775613 1.045760 1.451859
2025-07-20 0.242581 0.322550 0.429270 0.584612 0.809168 1.128672 1.629993
2025-07-27 0.228213 0.310143 0.422369 0.590480 0.841463 1.211425 1.815734
2025-08-03 0.214896 0.297856 0.414209 0.593131 0.868303 1.287468 1.998481
2025-08-10 0.204138 0.288204 0.408748 0.598762 0.899364 1.371938 2.203426
2025-08-17 0.189565 0.271833 0.392040 0.585572 0.899277 1.406117 2.326930
2025-08-24 0.181789 0.264944 0.388856 0.592834 0.932076 1.496364 2.557447
2025-08-31 0.172191 0.254582 0.379515 0.589294 0.946330 1.556067 2.739226
2025-09-07 0.165080 0.247742 0.375387 0.594229 0.975885 1.646191 2.991514
2025-09-14 0.155509 0.236444 0.363429 0.585169 0.980323 1.691906 3.164097
2025-09-21 0.147466 0.227060 0.353883 0.579329 0.989673 1.747034 3.361915
2025-09-28 0.136593 0.212448 0.334818 0.555494 0.964084 1.733466 3.415030
2025-10-05 0.132421 0.208596 0.333421 0.562670 0.996510 1.834741 3.726374
2025-10-12 0.128340 0.204633 0.331535 0.568721 1.027149 1.935327 4.050136
2025-10-19 0.124472 0.200791 0.329578 0.574405 1.057412 2.038015 4.393340
2025-10-26 0.120351 0.196271 0.326129 0.576972 1.081567 2.130208 4.725114
2025-11-02 0.116944 0.192797 0.324299 0.582424 1.111936 2.238712 5.113111
2025-11-09 0.111024 0.184589 0.313473 0.569652 1.103326 2.260406 5.284516
2025-11-16 0.108342 0.182009 0.312752 0.576684 1.137120 2.380926 5.732256